ترکیبی از تولید برق پایدار برای ایران
ترجمه نشده

ترکیبی از تولید برق پایدار برای ایران

عنوان فارسی مقاله: ترکیبی از تولید برق پایدار برای ایران: رویکرد فرآیند شبکه تحلیل فازی
عنوان انگلیسی مقاله: Sustainable electricity generation mix for Iran: A fuzzy analytic network process approach
مجله/کنفرانس: فن آوری ها و ارزیابی های انرژی پایدار – Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments
رشته های تحصیلی مرتبط: مهندسی صنایع، مهندسی برق
گرایش های تحصیلی مرتبط: برنامه ریزی و تحلیل سیستم ها
کلمات کلیدی فارسی: ترکیب تولید برق، توسعه پایدار، تصميم گيري چند معياره (MCDM)، فرایند شبکه تحلیلی فازی، BOCR
کلمات کلیدی انگلیسی: Electricity generation mix, Sustainable development, Multi-criteria decision making (MCDM), Fuzzy analytic network process (FANP), BOCR
نوع نگارش مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی (Research Article)
نمایه: Scopus – Master Journals
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seta.2018.04.001
دانشگاه: Department of Management – University of Otago – New Zealand
ناشر: الزویر - Elsevier
نوع ارائه مقاله: ژورنال
نوع مقاله: ISI
سال انتشار مقاله: 2018
ایمپکت فاکتور: 3.379 در سال 2017
شاخص H_index: 19 در سال 2019
شاخص SJR: 1.234 در سال 2017
شناسه ISSN: 2213-1388
شاخص Quartile (چارک): Q1 در سال 2017
فرمت مقاله انگلیسی: PDF
تعداد صفحات مقاله انگلیسی: 13
وضعیت ترجمه: ترجمه نشده است
قیمت مقاله انگلیسی: رایگان
آیا این مقاله بیس است: خیر
کد محصول: E9999
فهرست انگلیسی مطالب

Abstract


1- Introduction


2- Energy status of Iran


3- Electricity generation in Iran


4- Literature review


5- Methodology


6- Proposed fuzzy ANP model


7- Conclusion and policy implications


Acknowledgement


References

نمونه متن انگلیسی مقاله

Abstract


Electricity supply in Iran has been heavily dependent on fossil fuels. In light of the government’s emphasis on reducing the consumption of conventional energy sources, combined with the worldwide attention to environmental issues, it is necessary for Iran to revise its current energy mix policy in power sector and move towards a more diversified energy portfolio. This paper aims to contribute to energy management studies through developing a new framework for assessing the mix of energy sources for producing electricity in Iran from the perspective of sustainable development. Multiple qualitative and quantitative criteria with conflicting nature need to be taken into consideration for evaluating competing energy options for electricity production in Iran. In order to address this issue and also to consider the complex interdependence among criteria and alternatives, this paper adopts a fuzzy analytic network process (FANP) method. Seven criteria and nineteen subcriteria are defined and structured in the form of benefits, opportunities, costs and risks (BOCR) to evaluate the share of six energy resources. The results indicate that the best energy mix for the power sector in Iran is as follows: renewable energies (31.6%), natural gas (25%), coal (12.3%), fuel oil (12.6%), nuclear (8.7%) and gas oil (9.7%).


Introduction


During the last 60 years, the global population has grown by the factor of 2.5, whereas the global primary energy consumption has increased by a factor of 4.5 [9]. Also, the worldwide demand for energy is expected to increase even more over the next 30 years [23]. A short glance at the world’s energy architecture reveals that fossil fuels have remained as the dominant sources of electricity generation. The extensive consumption of fossil fuels has had negative global consequences such as climate change, depletion of fossil energy resources, and environmental pollution. In this sense, electricity sector has been the focal point in mitigating these issues mainly for two reasons [105]: first, electricity sector, especially in developing countries, is often highly carbon-intensive and is considered as a major source of greenhouse gas emissions. Therefore, moving towards generating electricity in lower carbon intensity units is a highly effective emission reduction strategy. Second, electricity sector is a relatively easy target for mitigating environmental effects because it is a large and concentrated sector. In order to achieve long-term sustainable development and energy security, it is imperative for all the countries to diversify their energy portfolio and seek for exploiting a combination of various energy sources for generating electricity [53]; [109]. In fact, each source of energy has its own advantages and disadvantages and, as expressed by Li [53, p. 2240], “the dominance of a single energy source and system, no matter how ‘‘perfect’’ it might be at a time, would be unsustainable in the long run.”

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